At present, the global polycarbonate production and consumption structure is rapidly changing. It has shifted from the previous European and North American markets to the Asian market. The demand is centered on East Asia, especially China. The consumption has increased with the continuous development of the IT industry and the automotive industry, and 2008. The Olympic Games and the 2010 Shanghai World Expo were held rapidly. The United States, Japan, South Korea, and China Taiwan will continue to be the major export countries and regions for polycarbonate, and China will be the major importer. In order to change the situation in China's polycarbonate industrial market supply and price, it is imperative to accelerate technological progress.
In recent years, driven by the rapid growth of the automobile, construction industry, and optical disc industry, China's polycarbonate consumer market has grown rapidly. It is expected that the average annual growth rate of polycarbonate in China from 2005 to 2009 will be 10% to 15%. In 2009, China's demand will account for 29% of the world's total demand. Among them, the current automotive industry with a large percentage of overseas consumption of polycarbonate has a relatively low proportion of consumption in China, and the next few years will be a period of vigorous development of China's automobile industry. This will inevitably promote China's use of polycarbonate and other automotive engineering plastics. Demand has grown dramatically.
In response to the huge potential of China's polycarbonate demand, foreign investors quickly invest in the Chinese market. It is reported that Bayer has established a joint venture with the Shanghai Huayi Group's chlor-alkali chemical company to jointly invest 560 million US dollars to build the Makrolon brand polycarbonate device in the Shanghai Chemical Industry Park. The first phase of the project was completed in the second quarter of last year, with a production capacity of 110,000 tons/year, and the second phase of the project will be expanded to 200,000 tons/year. It is expected to be completed and put into operation from 2007 to 2008. Japan’s Teijin Kasei has previously built a polycarbonate plant in China. Its 50,000-ton/year plant in Jiaxing, China, has been expanded to 100,000 tons/year by the end of 2006; they are currently building a third plant in Zhejiang, China. The capacity is 60,000 tons/year, and it is expected to be put into production in March 2009. At the same time, Teijin Chemical is planning to increase its production capacity of polycarbonate compounding equipment in Shanghai from 43,000 tons/year to 63,000 before December this year. Tons/year. In addition, the 120,000 tons/year polycarbonate unit that Mitsubishi cooperated with Takahashi Petrochemical also started construction. In April 2007, the basic design passed acceptance.
Imports surge in price The current domestic polycarbonate production companies mainly include: Shanghai Zhonglian Chemical Plant, Chongqing Changfeng Chemical Plant, and Minmetals Changzhou Synthetic Chemical Plant. However, the scale of the equipment is small, production technology is backward, production is low, and product grades are low. , And most of the products are for personal use. As the quality of polycarbonate produced in China does not meet the quality requirements of downstream manufacturers and the gap between supply and demand is large, the demand for polycarbonate in China is mainly dependent on imports. In recent years, China’s polycarbonate imports have increased rapidly, from 266,000 tons in 2001 to 890,300 tons in 2006. From 2001 to 2006, the average annual growth rate of polycarbonate imports in China was as high as 27.6%.
Due to the conflict between supply and demand, and high dependence on imports, the price of polycarbonate in our country keeps rising. In the period from 2002 to mid-2004, the price remained at around RMB 16,000 per ton, and the market was relatively stable. Since the second half of 2004, prices have risen all the way to the end of the year to around RMB 35,000 per ton; in 2005, prices have remained at high levels. It reached 38,500 yuan/ton; in 2006, the price fell slightly on the basis of 2005, but it still fluctuates between 30,000 and 34,000 yuan/ton. In view of the fact that domestic demand for polycarbonate will remain at a relatively high level in the next few years, the world crude oil price will remain at a high level. The price of polycarbonate in China is expected to remain strong.
Technological advances are urgently needed The average annual growth rate of global polycarbonate production capacity is expected to be 5% to 6% in the next few years, and 2010 production capacity will reach 3.9 million tons/year or more. At present, the development of polycarbonate in the world presents the following major features: Each country has developed non-phosgene method environmental protection technologies, and it is developing very rapidly. It is expected that non-photo phosgene will be the main method for new installations in the future; In terms of market competitiveness, many new installations are more than 50,000 tons/year, and some even exceed 100,000 tons/year; polycarbonate in Asia is developing rapidly. Demand and development in the next five years will show high speed development, and Asia will set off. The boom in the construction of polycarbonate; the application research and development of polycarbonate in the world is very active, and it has been developed in terms of multifunctionality and specialization. In particular, the application of optical disk grade polycarbonate has received great attention from various countries.
In 2006, the domestic polycarbonate production capacity has reached 200,000 tons/year. In the next few years, China's polycarbonate production will enter a new stage, and it is expected to reach 500,000 to 600,000 tons/year in 2010. For China's polycarbonate production enterprises, it is imperative to speed up technological progress. It is necessary to introduce advanced foreign advanced technology (non-optical gas melting method) as soon as possible, and through digestion and absorption, strive to narrow the gap with foreign advanced level in a relatively short period of time. What is more important is that we must carry out research on innovative technologies such as polycarbonate synthesis by oxidative carbonylation from a high starting point, strive for a place in the future competition for polycarbonate industrial technology, and change the market supply, price, and other aspects subject to human control.
In recent years, driven by the rapid growth of the automobile, construction industry, and optical disc industry, China's polycarbonate consumer market has grown rapidly. It is expected that the average annual growth rate of polycarbonate in China from 2005 to 2009 will be 10% to 15%. In 2009, China's demand will account for 29% of the world's total demand. Among them, the current automotive industry with a large percentage of overseas consumption of polycarbonate has a relatively low proportion of consumption in China, and the next few years will be a period of vigorous development of China's automobile industry. This will inevitably promote China's use of polycarbonate and other automotive engineering plastics. Demand has grown dramatically.
In response to the huge potential of China's polycarbonate demand, foreign investors quickly invest in the Chinese market. It is reported that Bayer has established a joint venture with the Shanghai Huayi Group's chlor-alkali chemical company to jointly invest 560 million US dollars to build the Makrolon brand polycarbonate device in the Shanghai Chemical Industry Park. The first phase of the project was completed in the second quarter of last year, with a production capacity of 110,000 tons/year, and the second phase of the project will be expanded to 200,000 tons/year. It is expected to be completed and put into operation from 2007 to 2008. Japan’s Teijin Kasei has previously built a polycarbonate plant in China. Its 50,000-ton/year plant in Jiaxing, China, has been expanded to 100,000 tons/year by the end of 2006; they are currently building a third plant in Zhejiang, China. The capacity is 60,000 tons/year, and it is expected to be put into production in March 2009. At the same time, Teijin Chemical is planning to increase its production capacity of polycarbonate compounding equipment in Shanghai from 43,000 tons/year to 63,000 before December this year. Tons/year. In addition, the 120,000 tons/year polycarbonate unit that Mitsubishi cooperated with Takahashi Petrochemical also started construction. In April 2007, the basic design passed acceptance.
Imports surge in price The current domestic polycarbonate production companies mainly include: Shanghai Zhonglian Chemical Plant, Chongqing Changfeng Chemical Plant, and Minmetals Changzhou Synthetic Chemical Plant. However, the scale of the equipment is small, production technology is backward, production is low, and product grades are low. , And most of the products are for personal use. As the quality of polycarbonate produced in China does not meet the quality requirements of downstream manufacturers and the gap between supply and demand is large, the demand for polycarbonate in China is mainly dependent on imports. In recent years, China’s polycarbonate imports have increased rapidly, from 266,000 tons in 2001 to 890,300 tons in 2006. From 2001 to 2006, the average annual growth rate of polycarbonate imports in China was as high as 27.6%.
Due to the conflict between supply and demand, and high dependence on imports, the price of polycarbonate in our country keeps rising. In the period from 2002 to mid-2004, the price remained at around RMB 16,000 per ton, and the market was relatively stable. Since the second half of 2004, prices have risen all the way to the end of the year to around RMB 35,000 per ton; in 2005, prices have remained at high levels. It reached 38,500 yuan/ton; in 2006, the price fell slightly on the basis of 2005, but it still fluctuates between 30,000 and 34,000 yuan/ton. In view of the fact that domestic demand for polycarbonate will remain at a relatively high level in the next few years, the world crude oil price will remain at a high level. The price of polycarbonate in China is expected to remain strong.
Technological advances are urgently needed The average annual growth rate of global polycarbonate production capacity is expected to be 5% to 6% in the next few years, and 2010 production capacity will reach 3.9 million tons/year or more. At present, the development of polycarbonate in the world presents the following major features: Each country has developed non-phosgene method environmental protection technologies, and it is developing very rapidly. It is expected that non-photo phosgene will be the main method for new installations in the future; In terms of market competitiveness, many new installations are more than 50,000 tons/year, and some even exceed 100,000 tons/year; polycarbonate in Asia is developing rapidly. Demand and development in the next five years will show high speed development, and Asia will set off. The boom in the construction of polycarbonate; the application research and development of polycarbonate in the world is very active, and it has been developed in terms of multifunctionality and specialization. In particular, the application of optical disk grade polycarbonate has received great attention from various countries.
In 2006, the domestic polycarbonate production capacity has reached 200,000 tons/year. In the next few years, China's polycarbonate production will enter a new stage, and it is expected to reach 500,000 to 600,000 tons/year in 2010. For China's polycarbonate production enterprises, it is imperative to speed up technological progress. It is necessary to introduce advanced foreign advanced technology (non-optical gas melting method) as soon as possible, and through digestion and absorption, strive to narrow the gap with foreign advanced level in a relatively short period of time. What is more important is that we must carry out research on innovative technologies such as polycarbonate synthesis by oxidative carbonylation from a high starting point, strive for a place in the future competition for polycarbonate industrial technology, and change the market supply, price, and other aspects subject to human control.
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