ICT Top Ten Trend Report Released
China Industry News reporter Cao Yali
Recently, the "ICT Deep Observation Report and White Paper Release Conference" hosted by China Information and Communication Research Institute was held in Beijing. Yu Xiaohui, chief engineer of China Information and Communication Research Institute, released the top ten trend reports of ICT at the meeting. AI and Industrial Internet became hot spots. Yu Xiaohui said that computing technology, the development of artificial intelligence, and network technology together constitute the driving force for the current global digital wave.
First, 5G commercialization promotes the industrial chain to accelerate its maturity. 2019 is a key year for 5G. With the release of the first version of the 5G international standard, the world's major countries will start 5G commercialization in the next 1-2 years. China is expected to become one of the first commercial countries in the world. 5G will bring revolutionary changes to the industry chain.
Second, the industrial Internet leads the digital transformation, and the industrial Internet has a lot of room for innovation. The Industrial Internet provides a very important vehicle for promoting the deep integration of the Internet, big data and artificial intelligence. The Industrial Internet will integrate more new network technologies and computing technologies. The Industrial Internet is the most important infrastructure and the most important path to support the development of digital transformation.
The third is the reshaping of information network and industrial system reform. In the next two years, the number of IPv6 active users will exceed 500 million, and Internet users will account for more than 50%. At the same time, in the next two years, the accelerated integration of cloud network integration will reshape the network architecture and industrial ecology. In addition, in the next three to five years, the global satellite Internet will achieve scale deployment.
The fourth is the ubiquitous connection to build a new ecology of all things. At present, many bottlenecks in the Internet of Things have been solved. It is estimated that by 2020, the output value of China's Internet of Things will exceed RMB 1 trillion, and the compound growth rate will exceed 15%. In terms of vehicle networking, LTE-V2X scaled application demonstration and commercial deployment will be realized in the next two to three years; The autopilot solution is gradually completed, accelerating the process of unmanned driving; the main body and business model of the vehicle network are gradually clear, and the whole process of automobile manufacturing, sales and use is opened up.
The fifth is that wisdom empowers the computing industry Sina. The tide computing industry and ICT innovation are complementary. Artificial intelligence and smart application will become important driving forces. It will maintain rapid growth in the next three years. It is expected that the follow-up will gradually become rational and stable.
Sixth, artificial intelligence accelerates the spread of applications. In the field of artificial intelligence, diversified perception is the only way to be intelligent, and multi-modal fusion interaction becomes the future trend. Dedicated chips, open source computing platforms and effective data have become important focus for enterprises to build artificial intelligence ecosystem. It is estimated that 60% of artificial intelligence applications will be based on open source platforms in 2020. Leading companies will present a diversified development model around the development framework platform, and international giants will open source artificial intelligence development framework to create an industrial ecosystem. Artificial intelligence can be widely used to produce and live AI applications and industrialization process is fully accelerated. AI will be applied to education, transportation, medical and other fields. It is estimated that by 2020, 30% of global enterprises will use AI to assist.
Seven is the blockchain exploration to build a distributed trust system. The deep integration and innovation breakthroughs of blockchain, cloud computing, and Internet of Things will promote its large-scale commercial exploration and application in medical, judicial, industrial, media, etc., and build a new distributed trust system. It is expected that more progress and progress will be seen in the blockchain in the next two or three years, and there will be more practice.
Eight is the deepening of the ecological uncertainty of the global ICT industry. The global ICT industry has formed a pattern of division of labor among countries. Trade protectionism affects global supply chains and affects technological innovation and production efficiency. It is expected that the global ICT industry will show a general growth rate decline in the next 1-2 years, mainly because the growth rate of the ICT manufacturing sector will decline.
Nine is the multi-party governance of the digital economy from consensus to practice. Inclusiveness will remain the main tone of the future digital economic governance, but the focus of governance will be more focused on regulating healthy development.
Ten is the intelligent attack and defense reconstruction network space security paradigm. On the one hand, artificial intelligence security risks are increasingly ubiquitous, bringing new threats and challenges. Artificial intelligence's own security risks and technical malicious applications will fully challenge the national cyberspace; on the other hand, artificial intelligence's autonomous learning and evolutionary capabilities enhance security. The intelligent level of protection, enhanced prediction, early warning and prevention capabilities, massive data analysis of artificial intelligence, adaptive learning, intelligent decision-making, rapid response, etc. provide new directions, new capabilities and new technologies for security protection.
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